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Poll: McCain, Obama, Kyl have similar approval ratings in AZ

Poll: McCain, Obama, Kyl have similar approval ratings in AZ

It appears Sen. John McCain is viewed by Arizona voters only slightly more favorably than President Obama, at least when it comes to the percentage of people who think the two federal officials are doing an “excellent” or “good” job.

A new Rocky Mountain Poll by the Behavior Research Center shows McCain with a 48 percent approval rating, while Obama’s is at 47 percent. The poll was conducted among 800 Arizonans (629 were registered voters) from Sept. 9-18. The results were released Sept. 28. The poll has a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

Though both officials had a favorable rating overall – the percentage of those who viewed Obama’s job performance as “poor” or “very poor” was much higher than McCain’s. Thirty-two percent said Obama was doing a bad job, while 21 percent said they disapprove of McCain’s job performance.

The Behavior Research Center somehow took this to mean that the results reflect “the fierce attacks from the GOP toward nearly all aspects of (Obama’s) policies,” according to an analysis released along with the poll.

Those who wrote the analysis noted a deep partisan divide, and provided numbers to back that up. But it’s not clear how they made the leap that in Obama’s case it meant that people view him disfavorably due to Republican attacks.

“It also appears that these attacks have been most successful among voters over 55 years of age, middle income voters and Caucasians,” according to the analysis. “On the other hand, groups in which Mr. Obama remains favorably evaluated by a majority include ethnic minorities (especially Hispanics) both lower and upper income voters and voters under the age of 55.”

Those who disapproved of Obama’s performance were mostly Republicans (58 percent said he was doing a poor or very poor job). Many independents also viewed him unfavorably (31 percent said he was doing a poor or very poor job). Among Democrats, only 9 percent said he was doing poorly.

The results weren’t as partisan for McCain, although he did, of course, fare better among Republicans. Thirty-eight percent of Democrats and 28 percent of independents said he was doing a bad job. Thirteen percent of Republicans disapproved of his performance.

The pollsters also surveyed the job performance of Sen. Jon Kyl, whose results were similar to McCain’s. Kyl registered a 44 percent approval rating, while tallying 24 percent in the poor or very poor categories. A further breakdown of his results are below.

The wild card, once again, is the designation “fair” that is used in Rocky Mountain Polls. It’s sort of a murky designation that I interpret as those who are undecided about a politician’s performance; they could be swayed either way, or they are not paying close attention. McCain registered a 31 percent in the fair category, Kyl was at 32 percent, and Obama had a 21 percent.

It’s interesting that 94 percent of those polled had opinions on McCain and Obama, while only 75 percent responded for Kyl. It appears the Senate minority whip still doesn’t carry the same name recognition of his Senate counterpart in their home state. Perhaps a run for president (successful or not) would change that.

Poll Question: “Would you say that (public official’s name) is doing an excellent, good, fair, poor or very poor job in office?” 

                         Excellent/Good     Fair     Poor/Very Poor

President Barack Obama   
All voters                    47%                 21%             32%
Democrats                  75%                 16%              9%
independents              46%                 23%             31%
Republicans                17%                 25%             58%

U.S. Sen. John McCain
All Voters                    48%                31%             21%
Democrats                  37%                32%             31%
independents              38%                34%             28%
Republicans                56%                31%             13%

U.S. Sen. Jon Kyl
All Voters                   44%                32%              24%
Democrats                  26%                31%             43%
independents              29%                35%             36%
Republicans                63%                29%              8%


  1. Chris Simcox
    Chris Simcox09-30-2009

    Chris Simcox on Poll Showing McCain Out of Touch

    In commenting on a September 29th Rasmussen poll, Chris Simcox, founder of the Minuteman Civil Defense Corps and a Republican challenger for U.S. Senate seat held by John McCain, stated the following:

    “It comes as no surprise to me that a Rasmussen poll just released shows that 61% of Arizona republicans think that John McCain is out of touch with the Republican Party. As I’ve been campaigning across Arizona, I’m finding a lot of discontent with McCain among the party base. Every day that I speak to voters further erodes the assumption that McCain will be the republican nominee for the Senate in 2010. We’re slowly gaining on him, and we’re just getting started.”

    Emerging Counter-Culture Conservative versus Progressive McCain

    Eight years ago I challenged the status quo on illegal immigration without thought of political parties or ideology. My goal was to bring into peoples’ attention the stark reality of our border insecurity. The two main political parties were part of a three-ring circus with Democrats and Republicans whistled on stage by the Ring Master –main stream media personalities. Among Progressives like McCain, little has changed.

    Today, conservative media personalities seem to be maneuvering to upstage each other. For example: neoconservative Mark Levin has criticized populist Glenn Beck.

    In this mix, I consider myself an independent and Counter-Culture Conservative. My mission is, and always has been, to open the eyes of a widely apathetic citizenry. While accomplishing that goal my efforts have also served to expose those who are part of the problem not the solution.

    I agree with Beck when he says that a President McCain would have been no better than President Obama. It partially explains why I’m challenging John McCain in the Republican primary next August.

    Progressive McCain voted for TARP, nurtured Cap & Trade, and accepted the scientifically dubious premise that global warming is manmade as well as a clear and present danger to the planet. McCain ‘progressively’ engages in the healthcare debate rather than, as a genuine Conservative, leading a Senate effort to stop it on the grounds that it’s unconstitutional. And, McCain supports the failed blame-America organization that is the United Nations.

    Meanwhile, we learn that Obama plans to reduce funding for border security. And, the truth is McCain never wanted to fix our porous borders. Joined by tens of thousands of citizens, I held a Tea Party on the border in 2005. We led the charge to stop the Progressive McCain-Kennedy amnesty bill in 2006. We forced Congress to build over 600 miles of fencing in 2007. The border problem still remains a serious issue regardless of the party in charge that will only improve when voters demand for change are heard.

    In 2004, McCain told me, in person, “Chris, what you are doing on the border will bring more trouble than the drug cartels.” Beck was right on the border issue. A President McCain would have been no better than Obama. Today a unified McCain and Obama sit idly by allowing the drug cartels to expand their criminal activities into U.S. cities and essentially control America’s southern border.

    I respect the Libertarian principles of Constitution, Freedom and Liberty. My run as a registered Republican will promote the GOP in becoming the party that once again embraces those principles. Among some in the Republican establishment the attitude toward me is “How dare you! Who the hell gave you permission to do this! You’re going to screw the whole damn thing up.”

    I fully expected that response. It’s symptomatic of a political party that needs an awakening. And I believe that awakening will be delivered upon it by patriotic voters in 2010 in Arizona.

    My response to the GOP establishment, and to Mark Levin, in defense of Beck is that Beck is doing what all good teachers do-what I did as a teacher. He’s starting with the basics – government 101 – and building from there.

    My love of the Constitution and my deep respect for the freedom-loving conservatives of Arizona call me to run against John McCain. He, progressive liberals, and the professional GOP party loyalists should take note. People are demanding that politicians return their government to its Constitutional foundation. In the next election, they will elect Congressional representatives who will protect our free market economic system, our borders, and our national security.

    So I’m running as a states’ rights candidate. And I will, when elected, work to protect the state from federal government encroachments. I will work closely with Arizona’s elected representatives to protect the rights of Arizona’s citizens. I will not enter the Senate with the overriding goal of working for the GOP or the federal government. I will go to bring a message from the American people that says, “Keep it simple; stay out of our private lives; do what’s necessary to defend the nation. And don’t impede our industry or stand in the way of our enterprising spirit flourishing once again.”

    Chris Simcox
    Candidate for U.S. Senate Arizona
    Media contact 480-652-1638

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