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Of polling samples and turnout models

Republicans cried foul this morning when Public Policy Polling released the results of a poll done over the weekend that shows Barber up by 12 points over Kelly in tomorrow’s special CD8 election. Republican operatives and Kelly supporters were quick to pan the poll’s results because it significantly oversampled Dem voters.

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Vote of no confidence on two ballot measures

Multiple sources say that the Arizona Chamber of Commerce’s public policy committee yesterday voted to recommend that the full chamber board oppose both the Open Government and Quality Jobs & Education initiatives when it meets next week to decide what stance to take on the slate of 2012 ballot measures.

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Rio Nuevo shakeup fosters conspiracy theories

Word broke Tuesday that Pierce ousted two members of the Rio Nuevo board, including its chairwoman. Letters dated May 31 were sent to Chairwoman Jodi Bain and fellow board member Rick Grinnell. The three-sentence letters merely thank them for their service and say that Pierce intends to appoint new members to the panel, but do not give a reason.

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Stroke of genius?

Decision time is fast approaching for Antenori, who still hasn’t decided whether to pursue a Congressional race in new CD2 or seek re-election to the Senate in the new Dem-leaning LD10. “I probably won’t know ’til about 4:55 tomorrow,” he told our reporter this morning.

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Polling reportedly shows Flake up by 24

A poll recently commissioned by a political committee eyeing the state’s U.S. Senate race shows Flake with a significant lead over Cardon, despite the latter’s million-dollar-plus advertising push since March, a source who had seen the poll told our reporter today.

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Flipping over the race card

Gallardo yesterday led the Latino charge against the two recent FAIR Trust lawsuits against the IRC’s maps. With an eye directed primarily at the legislative map, he, Lopez and Quezada teamed up with Mary Rose Wilcox and attorney Danny Ortega to denounce the lawsuits as a dishonest and racist Republican attempt to maintain control of the Legislature.

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Things looking up for Gould’s race on the river

Gould yesterday picked up the endorsement of the fiscally conservative Club for Growth, whose endorsement could provide an influx of needed cash into his race against Gosar and Babeu. Chris Chocola, the group’s president today gave Gould the ringing endorsement of “taxpayer superhero,” and Chocola didn’t mince words about Gould’s incumbent opponent: “Ron has stood up to the big spenders in Arizona time and time again and we believe he will do the same in Congress.

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…Every decision of any consequence

In their latest legal episode, the IRC will be defending itself from allegations that its legislative district plan is the result of a careful and deliberate conspiracy to fix the game for Democrats. On Friday, FAIR Trust attorney Michael Liburdi filed a federal lawsuit charging that the commission went through great lengths to pack GOP legislative districts to maximize Dem chances.

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