Rasmussen Reports isn’t regarded by most political insiders as the most accurate of firms, but no margin of error is likely to ease the blow its most recent poll delivered to Dean Martin and Buz Mills.
A Rasmussen poll released June 21 shows Gov. Jan Brewer with a whopping 61 percent of the Republican primary vote. Mills, who has spent more than $2.3 million in his pursuit of the Governor’s Office, pulled 16 percent, while Martin trailed at 12 percent. The automated telephone poll surveyed 707 likely primary voters on June 16.
Brewer’s numbers eclipsed the substantial lead she had in Rasmussen’s last poll in May, which showed her with 45 percent compared to Martin and Mills’ 18.
The three candidates were in a dead heat in March, when Rasmussen showed Mills with 21 percent, Brewer with 20 and Martin with 19. But the governor’s fortunes turned that month when the Legislature passed her budget plan and referred Proposition 100 to the ballot, and her approval numbers shot up after signing the strict illegal immigration law S1070.
Two percent of respondents said they would vote for another candidate – the fourth candidate in the race, Matthew Jette, was not included in the poll – and 9 percent said they weren’t sure who they would vote for.
Brewer had the highest favorability ratings of the three candidates, with 86 percent saying they had a very or somewhat favorable opinion of her, compared to 48 for Mills and 43 for Martin. Mills had the highest unfavorable rating at 30 percent, though Martin was close behind with 28 percent, while Brewer had 13 percent.
Much of the poll focused on voter attitudes toward illegal immigration, an issue that has put Brewer at the top of most polls conducted since she signed S1070 on April 23. In the poll, 89 percent of respondents said they supported S1070, with only 8 percent opposing it, and 77 percent said S1070 would be “very important” in determining who they voted for.