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Suburbs continue to grow rapidly, census figures show

PThe push to what used to be the edges of metro civilization continues in Arizona.

New figures today from the U.S. Census Bureau show five cities with double-digit population growth between the official 2010 count and estimates as of last July 1. And four of them are along the outer growth rings around Phoenix.

A similar pattern shows up in Pima County, though not to the same extent. Marana grew 9.5 percent since the decennial census, with a 6.4 percent population boost in Sahuarita.

By contrast, the overall increase for the entire state was just 3.7 percent.

The outlier in all this is San Luis which according to the latest data added nearly 5,700 residents since the 2010 census. And that translates to a 22.3 percent population boom for what had once been a tiny border hamlet.

None of that is any surprise to Tony Reyes, a Yuma County supervisor who previously served as mayor for 12 years. He said San Luis offers two things that make it attractive: proximity to the international border and low-cost housing.

In fact, Reyes is responsible for much of the latter factor as executive director of Comité de Bien Estar which building affordable homes. He said housing can be built in his community for up to 30 percent less than the same building would cost just up the road in Yuma.

As to location, Reyes said there are many migrants who work in the United States but don’t want to go through the bother of crossing the border every morning. Reyes presumes most are legal residents, as those without papers are unlikely to want to live in San Luis “where the Border Patrol rides around in the back yard all the time.”

The other issue related to location is what Reyes called a sort of “reverse migration” of Mexican nationals who moved to California years ago for work that has since disappeared. He said they want to be close to families who may live across the line in San Luis Río Colorado but remain in this country.

Everywhere else, the communities that grew rapidly were the ones which have become the latest round of bedroom communities as closer-in suburbs to Phoenix have filled up.

And there are few signs of slowing.

In fact, among cities of at least 50,000 the Census Bureau reports two of them are in the Top Fifteen for growth in just the past year.

Goodyear, at 4.8 percent, took the No. 6 slot with a one-year growth of 4.8 percent. Gilbert held down the No. 12 slot with its 4.0 percent annual population increase.

All that compares with just a 1.2 percent jump in population statewide.

Looking at slightly longer trends – and communities of all sizes – Queen Creek grew 12.6 percent since the 2010 census, enough to nudge ahead of Kingman.

Goodyear, with an 11.6 percent population increase since 2010, has edged ahead of Flagstaff which only grew 4.2 percent, with Buckeye’s 11.4 percent allowing it to jump ahead of Lake Havasu City which posted just a 0.6 percent population increase over the same time.

And Gilbert’s 10.3 percent boost in residents since the census now has it larger than Scottsdale.

At the other extreme, the report finds that Bisbee lost 215 residents since 2010, translating to a 3.9 percent reduction. Not far behind was Huachuca City with a 3.2 percent drop since the census, with Willcox and Litchfield Park each down 3.1 percent.

But there are many more Arizona communities the Census Bureau says had shed population since the annual count. Most already were small cities but that list also includes Yuma, Bullhead City and Florence.

The report shows some other patterns emerging.

While they could not keep pace with the far suburbs, Phoenix and its immediate surrounding neighbors continue to grow at a pace ahead of the rest of the state.

Phoenix itself showed a 4.7 percent population increase since 2010. Chandler and Peoria each grew 5.5 percent, with Surprise up 5.1 percent, Scottsdale growing 4.4 percent, Mesa with a 4.2 percent increase and Tempe at 4 percent. Glendale lagged the state slightly at 3.5 percent.

In Pima County, however, the pattern is different.

While Marana and Sahuarita showed sharp increases, Tucson itself managed to grow just 1.2 percent, a third of the state rate. Oro Valley did somewhat better at 1.5 percent, with landlocked South Tucson posting a 0.8 percent population increase.

Even in the unincorporated areas of Pima County lagged the state, growing just 1.3 percent over that same period.

Community

 2010*

2013

3 yr chg

 1 yr chg

Arizona

6,392,017

6,626,624

3.70%

1.2%

Apache Junction

71,518

71,934

0.6%

-1.3%

Avondale

76,238

78,828

3.4%

0.8%

Benson

5,105

5,005

-2.0%

-1.8%

Bisbee

5,575

5,360

-3.9%

-2.7%

Buckeye

50,876

56,683

11.4%

3.8%

Bullhead City

39,540

39,383

-0.4%

-0.4%

Camp Verde

10,873

11,018

1.3%

1.0%

Carefree

3,363

3,487

3.7%

1.2%

Casa Grande

48,571

50,111

3.2%

0.6%

Cave Creek

5,015

5,074

1.2%

2.0%

Chandler

236,123

249,146

5.5%

1.4%

Chino Valley

10,817

10.943

-99.9%

1.0%

Clarkdale

4,097

4,122

0.6%

0.9%

Clifton

3,311

3,501

5.7%

1.8%

Colorado City

4,821

4,812

-0.2%

-0.4%

Coolidge

11,825

11,887

0.5%

0.1%

Cottonwood

11,265

11,424

1.4%

1.3%

Dewey-Humboldt

3,894

3,951

1.5%

1.0%

Douglas

17,387

16,915

-2.7%

-0.8%

Duncan

696

750

7.8%

1.9%

Eagar

4,885

4,916

0.6%

-1.3%

El Mirage

31,797

32,998

3.8%

1.3%

Eloy

16,631

16,996

2.2%

-2.5%

Flagstaff

65,870

68,667

4.2%

1.6%

Florence

25,536

25,428

-0.4%

-4.7%

Fountain Hills

22,489

23,235

3.3%

0.9%

Fredonia

1,314

1,307

-0.5%

-0.9%

Gila Bend

1,922

1,977

2.9%

0.8%

Gilbert

208,453

229,972

10.3%

4.0%

Glendale

226,721

234,632

3.5%

1.1%

Globe

7,532

7,404

-1.7%

-0.5%

Goodyear

65,275

72,864

11.6%

4.8%

Guadalupe

5,523

6.072

-99.9%

1.3%

Hayden

662

650

-1.8%

-0.3%

Holbrook

5,053

4,996

-1.1%

0.1%

Huachuca City

1,853

1,794

-3.2%

-1.6%

Jerome

444

448

0.9%

0.9%

Kearny

1,950

2.03

-99.9%

1.1%

Kingman

28,068

28,393

1.2%

0.3%

Lake Havasu City

52,527

52,884

0.7%

0.1%

Litchfield Park

5,476

5,306

-3.1%

3.8%

Mammoth

1,426

1,484

4.1%

1.1%

Marana

34,961

38,290

9.5%

4.2%

Maricopa

43,482

45.508

-99.9%

1.6%

Mesa

439,041

457,587

4.2%

1.3%

Miami

1,837

1,794

-2.3%

-0.3%

Nogales

20,837

20,456

-1.8%

-1.1%

Oro Valley

41,011

41,627

1.5%

0.6%

Page

7,247

7,326

1.1%

-0.3%

Paradise Valley

12,820

13,387

4.4%

1.5%

Parker

3,083

3,073

-0.3%

2.2%

Patagonia

913

896

-1.9%

-0.9%

Payson

15,301

15,245

-0.4%

0.3%

Peoria

154,054

162,592

5.5%

1.8%

Phoenix

1,445,632

1,513,367

4.7%

1.7%

Pima

2,387

2,466

3.3%

2.1%

Pinetop-Lakeside

4,282

4,297

0.4%

0.5%

Prescott

39,843

40,590

1.9%

0.8%

Prescott Valley

38,822

39,791

2.5%

1.8%

Quartzsite

3,677

3,643

-0.9%

-0.4%

Queen Creek

26,361

29,673

12.6%

6.2%

Safford

9,566

9,602

0.4%

0.8%

Sahuarita

25,259

26,870

6.4%

2.2%

San Luis

25,505

31,180

22.3%

2.0%

Scottsdale

217,385

226,918

4.4%

1.5%

Sedona

10,031

10,111

0.8%

0.7%

Show Low

10,660

10,730

0.7%

0.3%

Sierra Vista

43,888

45,129

2.8%

Snowflake

5,590

5,576

-0.3%

Somerton

14,287

14,994

4.9%

0.8%

South Tucson

5,652

5,696

0.8%

0.3%

Springerville

1,961

1,967

0.3%

-1.1%

St. Johns

3,480

3,503

0.7%

-1.5%

Star Valley

2,310

2,278

-1.4%

-0.3%

SupeR卲r

2,837

2,896

2.1%

-0.2%

Surprise

117,517

123,546

5.1%

1.9%

Taylor

4,112

4,115

0.1%

0.3%

Tempe

161,719

168,228

4.0%

1.2%

Thatcher

4,865

4,957

1.9%

1.3%

Tolleson

6,545

6,756

3.2%

0.8%

Tombstone

1,380

1,338

-3.0%

-1.5%

Tucson

520,116

526,116

1.2%

0.3%

Tusayan**

570

573

0.5%

1.4%

Wellton

2,882

2,908

0.9%

-0.1%

Wickenburg

6,363

6,604

3.8%

0.9%

Willcox

3,757

3,641

-3.1%

-1.7%

Williams

3,023

3.001

-99.9%

-0.7%

Winkelman

353

347

-1.7%

0.0%

Winslow

9,655

9,479

-1.8%

1.0%

Youngtown

6,156

6,331

2.8%

0.8%

Yuma

93,064

91,923

-1.2%

-1.2%

* Official 2010 census count as of 4-1-2010
** 2010 Estimate as no formal census for Tusayan
Unincorporated areas (not including city populations)
Apache County

61,192

61,548

0.6%

-1.2%

Cochise County

52,410

50,291

-4.0%

-1.1%

Coconino County

54,125

52,482

-3.0%

-0.6%

Gila County

25,602

25,535

-0.3%

-0.1%

Graham County

20,402

20,457

0.3%

1.3%

Greenlee County

4,430

4,798

8.3%

4.3%

La Paz County

13,729

13,608

-0.9%

-0.2%

Maricopa County

284,404

294,347

3.5%

1.2%

Mohave County

75,230

77,598

3.1%

-0.1%

Navajo County

68,097

68,129

0.0%

0.4%

Pima County

353,264

357,955

1.3%

0.1%

Pinal County

187,517

195,695

4.4%

1.2%

Santa Cruz County

25,670

25,416

-1.0%

-0.8%

Yavapai County

83,782

85,551

2.1%

1.3%

Yuma County

60,013

60,196

0.3%

-0.3%

– Source: U.S. Census Bureau

 

One comment

  1. There is no way Apache Junction has 71,954 residents. I don’t even think they have 40k

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