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Arizonans dining out at higher rate than most of the country

After being closed for several weeks due to the coronavirus outbreak, Chandler Fashion Center Mall welcomes back patrons with many social distancing guideline signs on May 17, 2020. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
After being closed for several weeks due to the coronavirus outbreak, Chandler Fashion Center Mall welcomes back patrons with many social distancing guideline signs on May 17, 2020. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

Customers aren’t exactly filling the places up.

But new figures from OpenTable suggest that Arizonans are once again warming to the idea of dining out — and doing so with more exuberance than much of the rest of the country.

The most recent data from the organization that help people book reservations finds that dine-in seating at the restaurants surveyed is down about 60 percent from the same time a year ago.

Steve Chucri
Steve Chucri

That’s not great. But it comes after weeks of no in-house dining following the March 20 order from Doug Ducey allowing restaurants to provide only curbside and take-out service. It took until May 11 for the governor to partly lift the order, allowing dine-in services with new service protocols and limits on numbers of diners.

And that 60 percent reduction is better than most of the rest of the country, where dine-in service, on average, is still about 87 percent below last year. Steve Chucri, president of the Arizona Restaurant Association, said it appears that only South Carolina and Alabama, among states that shuttered restaurants, are doing better.

What’s keeping the numbers from being better?

Chucri said some of it is a matter of physics and geography.

He noted the requirement for physical distancing between dining parties. So a restaurant has to get rid of perhaps half their tables to make that a reality.

At the same time, Chucri said, some restaurants are waiting until the next phase to reopen to diners. Here, too, he said, distancing can matter.

For example, he cited one Phoenix restaurant which under normal circumstances would have 30 tables. But the size and configuration, Chucri said, might currently allow for perhaps just eight.

“So the models aren’t there to make the money in order to bring everyone back in,” he said.

That’s not all.

“Others are wanting to make sure all the wrinkles are ironed out in the supply chain issue that we’ve been experiencing,” Chucri said.

And even when restrictions are fully lifted — whenever that occurs — there’s the question of whether people are going to feel comfortable enough to go out and sit down at a fancy restaurant or even a fast-food table.

“I think some of it’s going to be word of mouth,” Chucri said, as those who have gone out spread the word about the experiences they have had.

And then there’s the question of what people read — or don’t read — in the paper. Chucri said a story about someone contracting COVID-19 from going out to eat would get a lot of attention.

“But, so far, so good,” he said.

All this has financial implications.

Chucri figures that the ban on in-house dining has cost restaurants statewide a collective $27 million a day in lost revenues. What that left them, he said, is what some were able to make with take-out and curbside services, a figure he said amounts to just 10 percent of what they were making before.

And Chucri said he presumes that, at least for some time to come, there will be Arizonans who remain more comfortable with getting their meals from their favorite restaurants and taking them home.

Arizona’s stay-home order among last to expire

Arizona Republican Gov. Doug Ducey, center, gives updates regarding the latest on the coronavirus at a news conference as Dr. Cara Christ, left, Director of Arizona Department of Health Services, and Arizona National Guard Maj. Gen. Michael McGuire, right, Director of Department of Emergency and Military Affairs, listen in Wednesday, May 20, 2020, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin, Pool)
Arizona Republican Gov. Doug Ducey, center, gives updates regarding the latest on the coronavirus at a news conference as Dr. Cara Christ, left, Director of Arizona Department of Health Services, and Arizona National Guard Maj. Gen. Michael McGuire, right, Director of Department of Emergency and Military Affairs, listen in Wednesday, May 20, 2020, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin, Pool)

Before Arizona’s “Stay Home, Stay Healthy, Stay Connected” executive order expired May 15, Gov. Doug Ducey was just one of a handful of Republican governors whose states were still under some derivation of a stay-at-home policy.

While some states announced restrictions earlier than Arizona’s March 31 start date, many of them were quick to reopen their states either in April or early May, whereas Ducey opted to extend Arizona’s order an extra two weeks until May 15. The original order would have expired close of business April 30.

Arizona began to allow restaurants to reopen for dine-in on May 11, and swimming pools, gyms, and more to reopen on May 13, which is still later than most other states.

Ducey’s decisions still did not come without criticisms from Republicans and Democrats.

Ducey and his staff have said every decision they made came from advice from local health officials like Cara Christ, director of the Arizona Department of Health Services, as well as the Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the White House.

Democrats called on Ducey before the extension on April 29 to keep the order in place, whereas staunch conservatives demanded he reopen the state early. The same conservatives were the ones rallying at the Capitol on multiple occasions in what was dubbed “touch your face” rallies, and even spurred an idealistic recall effort against the governor.

Impatient Republican lawmakers even criticized the governor one week before the order was set to expire, claiming it was not soon enough.

Ducey is far from the only governor to issue an extension or modified stay-at-home order, but in doing so, Arizona’s final duration for residents to remain at home (with some exceptions) was 45 days. Most other states with Republican governors – 25 in total, not including Arizona – were in place for roughly one month.

Vermont Gov. Phil Scott, who implemented a “Stay Home, Stay Safe” order on March 25, joined Arizona in letting it expire on May 15, but began the state’s phased reopening on April 20. Scott also allowed small gatherings of 10 or fewer people on May 6, recommending they happen outdoors if possible.

He also advised adults ages 65 and older to continue to stay home due to the risk of severe illness.

Maryland also lifted its stay-at-home order on May 15, after 46 days, but Gov. Larry Hogan replaced it with a new health advisory. He allowed some businesses to reopen on May 13, but with a 50% capacity and advised the public to practice safe social distancing and wearing of masks.

Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker kicked his stay-at-home order into effect on March 24 and let it expire May 18, but Baker replaced it with a “Safer At Home” order asking people to still remain home unless it’s for a medical reason, work, or one of the few things involved in the state’s slow reopening.

“The new Safer At Home advisory instructs everyone to stay home unless they’re headed to a newly opened facility or activity,” Baker said. “And it also advises those over the age of 65, and those with underlying health conditions, to stay home except for absolutely necessary trips – things like health care and groceries.”

Only Alabama, New Hampshire and Tennessee have ongoing stay-at-home orders, and Ohio just ended its order May 19, which was earlier than expected.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey first implemented her stay-at-home order on April 4. It was set to expire on April 30 to coincide with the state’s reopening. And after an 11-day lull, Ivey opted to adopt a new “Safer At Home” order which expires May 22, with some exceptions. Alabama will still allow non-work gatherings with no size restrictions, but six-feet apart from one another – including houses of worship. And gyms, barbershops, restaurants and bars can reopen with restrictions.

As opposed to Arizona though, Alabama has not allowed theaters or casinos to open back up.

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu’s executive order is scheduled to drag on the latest, and will expire May 31. But this is under a modified “Stay at Home 2.0.” Sununu said the state is looking to reopen based on facts, science and data. Restaurants, limited to 50% capacity with only outdoor seating and no more than six people to a table, and retail shops are now open in the state.

Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee issued his on April 1 and it is set to expire May 30, after an extension.

“The order allows Tennesseans and businesses to return to work in all industries where that can be safely accomplished by following health guidelines, while urging employers to allow or require remote work/telework if possible,” the governor announced in a statement.

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine issued his stay-at-home order effective on March 24 – it expired on April 6, but DeWine extended it with the target to reopen May 29. He lifted the order on May 19, though, saying most restrictions are voluntary, but some, like mass gatherings and those involving bars and restaurants, are still mandatory.

DeWine replaced the stay-at-home order with what he calls “Urgent Health Advisory: Ohioans Protecting Ohioans” order.

Passage of resolution to overturn Ducey’s order a very long shot

Sen. Michelle Ugenti-Rita, R-Scottsdale, who with Rep. Kelly Townsend, R-Mesa, called for a resolution to overturn Gov. Doug Ducey’s emergency declaration, posted this photo on Twitter and called for the reopening of the economy by saying, “Let’s start with removing police tape from our children’s play equipment.” PHOTO TWITTER
Sen. Michelle Ugenti-Rita, R-Scottsdale, who with Rep. Kelly Townsend, R-Mesa, called for a resolution to overturn Gov. Doug Ducey’s emergency declaration, posted this photo on Twitter and called for the reopening of the economy by saying, “Let’s start with removing police tape from our children’s play equipment.” PHOTO TWITTER

The plan hatched by some of the Legislature’s most vocal conservatives to reopen the state’s economy hinges on a concurrent resolution that would overturn the governor’s emergency declaration.

Indeed, under statute, a state of emergency can only be lifted by a decree of the governor or by “concurrent resolution of the Legislature declaring it at an end.” The governor has extended his stay-at-home order until May 15, but whether it gets extended once more – and how long the emergency declaration itself lasts – is as of yet unknown.

The concurrent resolution is the brainchild of Rep. Kelly Townsend, R-Mesa. She and Sen. Michelle Ugenti-Rita, R-Scottsdale, have already drafted language, though if both chambers adjourned by May 8 as legislative leaders planned, it may never see the light of day.

The resolution cites the impact of quarantine on mental health and the economy, the personal responsibility of Arizonans in slowing the spread of COVID-19 and guidance from U.S. Attorney General Bill Barr stating that “if a state or local ordinance crosses the line from an appropriate exercise of authority to stop the spread of COVID-19 into an overbearing infringement of constitutional and statutory protections, the Department of Justice may have an obligation to address that overreach.”

Already, the resolution has key supporters, including House Majority Leader Warren Petersen. But even Townsend has acknowledged that she may not have the 16 and 31 votes in each chamber to pass the resolution, which would go straight to the Secretary of State’s Office if approved by each body – in short, a bill overriding Gov. Doug Ducey’s authority doesn’t need his signature.

And Senate President Karen Fann and others have warned that if the resolution passes, the state could lose millions of dollars in emergency funding.

“[Passage] means Arizona will get to keep the Covid money we have received to date but will NOT be entitled to all the millions of FEMA or DEMA funds,” she wrote in an email to members. “In addition, all of the emergency declarations the governor has passed over the past few weeks will end immediately.”

Those declarations include the state income tax deferral to July 15, and protections from evictions.

There’s an argument that staunch conservatives might find more appealing as well: the executive order provides parameters for how strictly cities can enforce the stay-at-home order. It’s possible, some Republicans caution, that lifting the governor’s order could give the go-ahead to (largely Democratic) mayors like Regina Romero of Tucson who have called for stronger COVID-19 measures than the state as a whole.

Still, that’s all a long way away. The success of the resolution requires a lot to go right, and very little to go wrong. First, the Legislature needs to be in session, which was slated (though not guaranteed) to happen May 8.

There are two basic scenarios from that point. The first is that Townsend or Ugenti-Rita tries to introduce a new resolution. Because the Legislature has passed the deadline for the introduction of new legislation, they would need permission from the Rules Committee, which would have to meet to take a vote. In the House, the committee is controlled by Rep. Anthony Kern, R-Glendale – though Kern certainly knows that Speaker Rusty Bowers exercises a great deal of control over who sits on that committee.

Unless a motion is passed to lift certain House rules, that resolution would still need to follow the constitutional requirement that each piece of legislation is read on three separate days.

The second, more likely scenario (albeit not that likely), is that the resolution is introduced as a strike-everything amendment to existing legislation. Townsend was specifically interested in amending her HCR2016, which concerns term limits.

This wouldn’t require permission of the Rules Committee, but would still require suspending quite a few rules in order to allow for the late introduction of an amendment on the floor. House Rule 32, for example pertains to the timeliness of agendas and calendars. That would have to go. As would House Rule 12O, which prevents striker amendments on a bill available for final reading from being introduced in the committee of the whole. The same for 8F, which requires certain notifications to be made to the House clerk, and finally Rule 11, which also pertains to calendars.

And that’s all just in one chamber. It would still need the votes. In short, the concurrent resolution is an ambitious plan by a clearly frustrated faction within the Republican majority – but a plan that doesn’t look headed for success.

Small town of Wickenburg defies Ducey’s stay-at-home order

Customers leave after eating at the Horseshoe Cafe and at Bedoian's Bakery & Bistro Friday, May 1, 2020, in Wickenburg, Ariz. A few small businesses reopened in defiance of Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey's decision to extend a statewide stay-at-home order for another two weeks in. The Gov. extended the stay at home order in an effort to combat the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. (AP Photo/Matt York)
Customers leave after eating at the Horseshoe Cafe and at Bedoian’s Bakery & Bistro Friday, May 1, 2020, in Wickenburg, Ariz. A few small businesses reopened in defiance of Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey’s decision to extend a statewide stay-at-home order for another two weeks in. The Gov. extended the stay at home order in an effort to combat the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. (AP Photo/Matt York)

Warnings from police and Arizona health officials didn’t stop Debbie Thompson from serving food Friday inside her small-town Horseshoe Cafe.
“They have just told me that I have to shut down. I am not. They will have to arrest me,” Thompson declared to the cheers and applause from several seated customers.
Though she was not arrested, Thompson later received a call from the state Department of Health Services telling her to stop violating Gov. Doug Ducey’s stay-at-home order that’s designed to stem the spread of the coronavirus.
Thompson and other business owners in Wickenburg, a town of 6,300 people about 65 miles (105 kilometers) west of Phoenix, decided to reopen in defiance of Ducey’s order. Those who disregard it could face fines, though it wasn’t immediately clear if any businesses were cited.

Customers smile and cheer as Debbie Thompson, owner of the Horseshoe Cafe, informs them that she is violating the State's stay at home order by allowing guest dining at her restaurant Friday, May 1, 2020, in Wickenburg, Ariz. A few small businesses reopened in defiance of Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey's decision to extend a statewide stay-at-home order for another two weeks in. The Gov. extended the stay at home order in an effort to combat the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. (AP Photo/Matt York)
Customers smile and cheer as Debbie Thompson, owner of the Horseshoe Cafe, informs them that she is violating the State’s stay at home order by allowing guest dining at her restaurant Friday, May 1, 2020, in Wickenburg, Ariz. A few small businesses reopened in defiance of Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey’s decision to extend a statewide stay-at-home order for another two weeks in. The Gov. extended the stay at home order in an effort to combat the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. (AP Photo/Matt York)

Thompson, 65, said her restaurant can’t survive on only carry-out orders until the restrictions expire in two weeks. The Horseshoe Cafe normally makes $700 to $900 a day. In the last six weeks, it has been lucky to make $100 a day, she said.
“I’m a widow trying to do my best here,” Thompson said as she served about eight customers. “I believe our governor needs to get out and stay in the rural areas like we are. He needs to walk these streets and see the devastation it’s caused on these businesses.”
Ducey has extended his stay-at-home order, which applies to dine-in restaurants, through May 15 but said he will allow retailers big and small to reopen with precautions.
State officials published guidance Friday for retailers that reopen, including maintaining social distancing, limiting the number of people allowed in stores and widespread cleaning. They still recommend delivery or curbside options — even if customers are allowed inside — closing fitting rooms at clothing stores, screening employees for symptoms and offering face masks to workers and customers.
At Trader J’s, a Southwest-themed gift shop in Wickenburg, JoAnn Zimpher had masks and hand sanitizer ready for customers but wasn’t following all the state’s guidelines. Her son owns the shop, which was allowed to reopen, unlike Thompson’s restaurant.
Zimpher said if businesses disregard Ducey’s order, that doesn’t mean their owners have a disregard for life.
“We’ve never asked the people that want to stay isolated to come out,” she said. “The people we have encountered are thanking us for opening. They said, ‘It’s really good you take a stand.'”
The Republican governor let retailers open because he said there are signs the spread of the virus has slowed in Arizona. However, there’s no clear indication that deaths and new cases are trending down.
The state on Friday reported an additional 10 deaths and 314 confirmed infections, for a total of 330 deaths and nearly 8,000 cases.
For most people, the coronavirus causes mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough, that clear up in two to three weeks. It can cause more severe illness, including pneumonia and death, for some people, especially older adults and those with existing health issues.
Meanwhile, a death row inmate became the third in the state prison system to die from COVID-19. A federal public defender whose office represented Alfonso Raymond Salazar says he died at a hospital Thursday of virus-related complications.
Salazar was sentenced to death in the 1986 killing of 83-year-old Sara Kaplan in Pima County. Federal public defender Dale Baich said seven other death row prisoners have tested positive for COVID-19. ___
Terry Tang reported from Phoenix. Associated Press writer Jonathan J. Cooper contributed to this report.