U.S. Rep. Paul Gosar, R-Prescott, has never won less than 66 percent of the vote in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District, but that doesn’t mean potential challenger David Brill plans to back down from his Democratic principles.
“We all want to see backbone,” said Brill, who is running in the Democratic primary in the district. “Whether you agree on every value or every issue, of course not … but, yes, you want to see backbone.”
Brill was one of more than 400 candidates in Washington for Progressive Change Campaign Committee training on how to sell a progressive message to the voters in conservative districts.
The mantra of the day was “any blue just won’t do,” and speakers at the event, such as Sens. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont, and Elizabeth Warren, D-Massachusetts, said the path for Democratic victory in conservative districts is to embrace progressive values and positions, not hide from them.
Most of the few Arizona Democrats in attendance said they intended to embrace the message.
Brianna Westbrook, a candidate for state Senate District 22, said she “definitely agreed” with the morning’s mantra.
“We need blue candidates that are standing by their values, standing up for people-issues like Medicare for all, $15 minimum wage, protecting our nation’s immigrants,” she said. “These are things that any blue should do, but any blue doesn’t do.”
Brill had his doubts.
“I’m not entirely on board with all of the message which is presented by Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, by any means,” Brill said.
The Arizona candidates did agree that Democrats have a good chance of winning back some control in the state, where both chambers of the state legislature and every statewide elected office is held by a Republican.
Mike Noble, chief pollster with OH Predictive Insights, said “currently it’s a great election cycle for the Democrats,” but warned that “the pendulum swings both ways.”
Noble said that while Democrats may make gains in swing seats, “districts that are traditionally Republican are safe.”
But Joe Bisaccia, a Democrat running for the Arizona House of Representatives 12th District seat, said Republicans are angry, too.
“I’ve talked to lots and lots of … traditionally Republican voters that are fed up with the lip service from the governor and from the legislature, year in and year out of them saying, ‘Trust us, we’re going to fix the problem,’” said Bisaccia, who is also a teacher at Cooley Middle School.
“And every year it’s the same song and dance, and they’re ready to try something different,” he said.
Westbrook believes the Democratic Party’s energy is at the highest level it’s ever been in the state, and she thinks that energy will carry Democrats to victory.
“I absolutely believe that Arizona is on the verge of turning blue,” she said. “We have candidates in every single race, the most that Arizona has ever seen.”
While Brill acknowledged he faces an uphill battle trying to unseat Gosar, he said he has talked to Arizona voters and they are looking for change.
“Gosar is so far to the radical side that he has caused a lot of people here in Arizona … to be pretty upset with him,” Brill said. “We’re talking Republicans, especially Republicans with families who care about the education of their kids, the debt their kids are taking on and working two jobs and not advancing a career.”
But Noble does not think Gosar has any reason to worry about losing his seat in a district where Republicans account for almost 45 percent of registered voters and Democrats just over 19 percent.
“He’s a hard-right guy but in that district, it’s what you need,” Noble said of Gosar.
Bisaccia understands that Arizona will not turn blue overnight but thinks Arizona voters are ready for a change.
“I’m not sitting here saying Democrats are going to clean the board, take both chambers of the Legislature, beat (Gov. Doug) Ducey, win four or five state offices,” Bisaccia said. “A very, very good year in Arizona for Democrats would be to flip one of the chambers in the Legislature and win one or two statewide offices.
Even that scorecard wouldn’t turn Arizona blue, he said.
“But I think it’s going to solidify Arizona as one of those future battleground states for the next 10 to 15 years.”